Chad’s Morning Brief: Trump’s Rise in the Polls Could Be Bad News for Ted Cruz and The Bernie Sanders Surge
Here are a couple of the topics that will be discussed on The Chad Hasty Show today.
Trump Bad News For Cruz
According to a report from National Review, Ted Cruz should be worried about Donald Trump. As Donald Trump has risen in the polls, Cruz has fallen and is on the bubble when it comes to the first debate.
”Ted Cruz, among the more serious tier of candidates, had staked out probably the hardest line on immigration,” says Rick Wilson, a Florida-based Republican consultant. “He touches the same deeply angry, populist, and extremely vocal segment of the GOP that is furious over immigration, illegal and otherwise. Trump directly draws from that hyper-populist pool, and Cruz realizes it, since he seems to be the last Republican still not knocking Trump’s block off.” Trump jumped from 3 percent at the end of May to 12 percent at the end of June in CNN’s national poll, putting himself in second place. In those same two surveys, Cruz dropped from 8 percent to 3 percent. Marco Rubio dropped from 14 percent to 6 percent, and Scott Walker dropped from 10 percent to 6 percent. In Fox News’s national poll, Trump leapt from 4 percent to 11 percent in a three-week stretch in June. Meanwhile, Cruz dropped from 8 percent to 4 percent; Rubio gained a point, and Walker dropped from 12 percent to 9 percent.
Trump has also risen in New Hampshire while Cruz has fallen. While the numbers aren't looking good for Cruz right now, I still like Cruz long-term compared to Trump. Cruz has much more potential than Trump does in the primary and I believe we will see that play out. I also believe that Ted Cruz will make the debate.
Bernie-mania!
According to POLITICO, Bernie Sanders and his socialist surge have proved that he is the main challenger to Hillary Clinton. His message is resonating with the left and the Clinton campaign is not happy.
Democratic primaries have always featured liberal insurgent candidates, but perhaps none quite so liberal or insurgent as the socialist senator from Vermont. Sanders’ comments are a reminder of just how far the second-place Democratic presidential candidate stands from the American mainstream on some issues, and the looming reckoning Democrats face with their party’s leftward drift.
Never mind whether Sanders can crack 40 percent in any primary against Hillary Clinton — he has already established himself as her de facto challenger and a standard-bearer of a party that was, until this year, too far to the right for his liking.
“When I hear Bernie talk I’m almost inclined to accuse him of plagiarizing me,” said Ralph Nader, the left-wing gadfly whose third-party bid many Democrats still blame for swinging the 2000 election to George W. Bush.
Nader’s kinship with Sanders is yet another sign that the Democratic Party’s goal posts have moved left. The percentage of Democrats who identify as socially and economically liberal has increased 17 points since 2001, according to a recent Gallup poll. And the party’s restive liberal base — led in recent years by progressive icon Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren — has pushed the party establishment on social issues like same-sex marriage and populist economic ones like equal pay and paid sick leave.
I still don't believe Sanders will beat Clinton, but he could gain some momentum with the Warren-Democrats who believe that Clinton is too moderate. Republicans should be happy that Sanders is pushing Clinton and forcing her to publicly embrace her more liberal positions.
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These and many more topics coming up on today’s edition of The Chad Hasty Show. Tune in mornings 8:30-11am on News/Talk 790 KFYO, streaming online at kfyo.com, and now on your iPhone and Android device with the radioPup App. All guest interviews can be heard on our KFYO YouTube page after the show and online at kfyo.com.
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