Chad’s Morning Brief: Today is Election Day, Obama Campaign Tells Supporters to Stay Calm, Predictions, & More
Here is your Morning Brief for the morning of November 6, 2012. Give us your feedback below and tune in to The Chad Hasty Show for these and many more topics from 8:30 to 11 am.
1. Panic (link)
Today is Election Day and the message from the Obama campaign to supporters is not to panic.
In a conference call this afternoon, President Barack Obama’s re-election campaign had one central message for their supporters when Election Day arrives tomorrow: They should “keep calm,” even if they hear snippets of information favoring Republican Mitt Romney.
“My warning, we need to stay calm for much of the day,” Stephanie Cutter, Mr. Obama’s deputy campaign manager, said, touting thousands of early ballots already submitted by voters. “We’ve already banked a pretty big portion of our vote.”
I’m not so sure that sounds like a winning campaign. Don’t panic! You aren’t hearing that from the Romney campaign. Though it is nice to hear something from the Obama supporters other than revenge and rioting.
2. Predictions (link)
Last night I posted my official prediction for tonight’s Presidential Election.
I believe that Mitt Romney will win the election on Tuesday night and will become the 45th President of the United States. I predict that Romney will win about 51-52% of the popular vote and could even get over 300 Electoral College votes. Romney will win Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, and Colorado. Romney could even pull out wins in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.
It’s not a lock that Romney wins on Tuesday, but I feel pretty confident about it. If Romney wins, it will be a huge first step in fixing what is wrong in this country. Right now, people care about the economy and their future. That will be what propels Romney to victory on Tuesday night.
You can read my full prediction by clicking on the link above. Today on the show, I will be taking your predictions. Who do you think will win the Presidential Election?
3. Romney Internal Poll (link)
Internal polls are always fun to see. Though I bet the Romney campaign had rather these stay out of the public. According to Romney’s internal numbers, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin are all in play.
Mitt Romney is ahead by a single percentage point in Ohio – the swing state that many believe could decide the election, according to internal polling data provided to MailOnline by a Republican party source.
Internal campaign polling completed last night by campaign pollster Neil Newhouse has Romney three points up in New Hampshire, two points up in Iowa and dead level in Wisconsin and – most startlingly – Pennsylvania.
If the Romney campaign’s internal numbers are correct – and nearly all independent pollsters have come up with a picture much more favourable for Obama – then the former Massachusetts governor will almost certainly be elected 45th U.S. President.
Sure, it’s an internal poll but I think it shows that things are looking good for Romney.
4. No Real Drama in Texas (link)
In Texas, there won’t be much drama for the top of the ballot races. In fact, unless you are a Democratic chair you can already admit whole will win. According to WFAA:
Texas’ top-of-the-ballot races are foregone conclusions.
Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney will almost certainly win the state’s 36 presidential electoral votes on Tuesday and tea party-backed Republican Ted Cruz will complete a once seemingly impossible rise from virtual unknown ex-state solicitor general to the first Hispanic from Texas elected to the U.S. Senate, replacing the retiring Kay Bailey Hutchison.
Cruz’s contest against underfunded, former Democratic state Rep. Paul Sadler was easy compared to his upset victory in the fierce Republican Senate primary, when he shocked Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst, the choice of Gov. Rick Perry and the mainstream GOP. A Democrat, has not captured statewide office here since 1994.
Still Cruz spokesman James Bernsen said the campaign’s not taking anything for granted.
“Ted has had a very vigorous schedule going all around the state,” Bernsen said, “and that’s going to continue right up to the end.”
Many down-ballot contests are also shaping up to hold few surprises, with Republicans likely continuing to dominate traditionally conservative parts of the state and Democrats controlling areas where they’ve usually done well. In fact, of the 198 major races across the state, only 19 look to be competitive.
I know the Texas Democratic Chairman wants to believe that Texas will be a swing state by 2014, but when WFAA in Dallas is already calling the elections in Texas, you might be a bit off.
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These and many more topics coming up on today’s edition of The Chad Hasty Show. Tune in mornings 8:30-11 am on News/Talk 790 KFYO, streaming online at kfyo.com, and now on your iPhone and Android device with the radioPup App. All guest interviews can be heard online in our podcast section after the show at kfyo.com.